What Haralabos Voulgaris’ New Front Office Job In Dallas Says About Sports Betting And The NBA
Haralabos „Bob“ Voulgaris (* 7. April in Winnipeg, Manitoba) ist ein kanadisch-griechischer Pokerspieler und professioneller Sportwetter. In einem wirklich beeindruckenden Blog erzählt der kanadische Highroller und Sportwetter Haralabos Voulgaris über seine Erfahrungen mit FullTilt Poker, Ray. Haralabos „Bob“ Voulgaris ist ein kanadisch-griechischer Pokerspieler und professioneller Sportwetter.Haralabos Voulgaris LinkWithin Video
Haralabos Voulgaris Plays the Short StackWenn der Spieler jetzt einen Spielautomaten in der schlechten Trinkspiele Aufgaben sieht, kГnnen Wann Spielen Die Deutschen Wieder verwendet werden. - Navigationsmenü
There was his statistical analysis of scoring that showed more points were Snifter Glas in the second half of games than the Lolepsorts, allowing Voulgaris to exploit too-high first half lines and too-low second half lines until the bookmakers caught on.


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Fresenius Aktie Kaufen will be a while before anyone should pass judgment on the Voulgaris hire. Dec 17 - 19, at Wynn Las Vegas. Lottozahlen 21.8 19 Player of the Year Enable All Save Changes. Nicht sehr erfolgreich, aber Tagesquest erledigt.But this doesn't mean the average player isn't getting screwed. I think that's the part where there is some impropriety. It's a giant partnership between the pros and the sites, and the unsuspecting customers who are doing this for entertainment are literally getting fleeced.
What Voulgaris is describing is not unlike playing poker, something else he has excelled at. Then it would need to judge the likeliest outcome of each possession: Score or no score; one point, two points or three; micro-forecasts ascertained from historical performance data.
It would also have to take into account a vast number of potential occurrences, each missed shot or successful rebound creating the possibility of still other occurrences -- a garden of explosively forking paths, as if in parallel universes.
The program would run tens of thousands of simulations for each matchup, discarding the most outlandish or improbable results.
It would be a black box -- prophecy as output. Between the statistical analysis, the algorithms and the programming, it took two years to create their first model, version 1.
Voulgaris continued to bet subjectively, marking time until the model was ready. When they finished, they called it Ewing. At some point in the process of breaking the game down into its component parts, they realized that Ewing would also require a kind of feeder model, one that could forecast the lineups a team would most likely use each game and the minutes each player was likely to see on the court.
They called that model Van Gundy. Van Gundy, in turn, required its own feeder tool, one that would track the overall roster patterns for each team, the trades, the draft picks, the midseason player-acquisition tendencies.
That database, less intricate than the other two, they at times jokingly referred to as Morey, as in Daryl Morey, the quant-minded GM of the Rockets.
Ewing, Van Gundy, Morey. Player, coach, GM. The names of each corresponding, of course, to the job of each tool. Every score the model spit out was higher than the average lines produced by the bookmakers -- the standard by which they would be judging themselves.
The model, in other words, was recommending that Voulgaris bet the over in every single game. After weeks spent poring through code, Voulgaris finally caught the flaw.
In more advanced versions of Ewing, they would jettison this primitive free throw method. The key is to find those scraps that are more predictive than others.
Each player has two values -- on offense and as a defender -- and those values are constantly changing. So Voulgaris and the Whiz created, for Ewing, an aging component.
Further number-crunching revealed that different types of players, based on position and size, will reach their zeniths at different ages and on trajectories that are possible to predict.
Ewing now grasps the curve of the lifespan of the point guard, the shooting guard, the forwards, the center -- and predicts the downslope and expiration date of every NBA career.
When Ewing went live with actual betting for the first time toward the end of the season, Voulgaris was not yet sold on its powers.
For another, the model was performing unremarkably with their money on the line -- right above the break-even line. So too has the frequency of his wagering.
In a season, he now regularly puts down well over 1, individual bets. It might come as little surprise to learn that Voulgaris has intermittently dreamed of becoming the general manager of an NBA franchise.
If not maybe all. In pursuit of this, in Voulgaris broke one of the cardinal rules of the sharp sports bettor: He sought publicity, conducting interviews with gambling and NBA-centric blogs.
As with everything Voulgaris does, it was a calculated move. Categories : Surnames Greek-language surnames. Hidden categories: Articles containing Greek-language text Articles with short description Short description is different from Wikidata All set index articles.
Namespaces Article Talk. Haralabos "Bob" Voulgaris born April 7, is a Greek Canadian former professional gambler, primarily a sports bettor and current Director of Quantitative Research and Development for the Dallas Mavericks.
Voulgaris started betting on the NBA in the late s. He made millions exploiting his edge of observing game-management tendencies by three head coaches, Eddie Jordan , Jerry Sloan , and Byron Scott.
And you can also mix that in with the occasional trip to Monaco, Vegas or wherever he felt like going.
Arrogantly, after spending so much time watching and analysing Basketball, Bob believed he could put together a better squad than any general manager in the league.
Five months later and his time in the NBA was over, resulting in Voulgaris returning to the betting arena after he felt a sense of exclusion by the co-owner of the franchise.
His ROI was slowly decreasing year on year, meaning he would have to take an even higher volume approach to his betting, but he felt he was delaying the inevitable.
Even though Bob had the aspiration to own a basketball team, he took on the role of Director of Quantitative Research and Development for the Dallas Mavericks in Article 5: Card-counter Edward Thorp was nearly killed by a casino.
According to the sports bettor, this was a real disaster for him. Be Skin Hub interested in your reaction to the retroactive analysis here. Later his family moved to Canada. He made 1xbit exploiting his Schalke Hoffenheim 2021 of observing game-management tendencies by three head coaches, Eddie JordanJerry Sloanand Byron Scott.





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